Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 3.927361 4.639234 5.406157 6.289591 7.274856 8.335701 9.559990
2025-11-30 3.023133 3.997331 5.130325 6.527657 8.186516 10.075147 12.369426
2025-12-07 2.270056 3.357626 4.719353 6.507368 8.749647 11.425550 14.814834
2025-12-14 1.612508 2.689423 4.145187 6.178866 8.865372 12.212628 16.612565
2025-12-21 1.162075 2.192623 3.695882 5.922794 9.007171 12.998950 18.415933
2025-12-28 0.974272 2.035460 3.680688 6.230196 9.887733 14.753151 21.506316
2026-01-04 0.851976 1.952752 3.753927 6.654686 10.939766 16.769214 25.008355
2026-01-11 0.739500 1.859193 3.790005 7.014517 11.908058 18.701727 28.460233
2026-01-18 0.597930 1.675552 3.648387 7.077843 12.436018 20.036477 31.140181
2026-01-25 0.450490 1.437128 3.372655 6.890928 12.564259 20.798399 33.043754
2026-02-01 0.340495 1.243288 3.141478 6.743937 12.728211 21.599485 35.007848
2026-02-08 0.258276 1.085155 2.948397 6.634385 12.930619 22.448483 37.048096
2026-02-15 0.193678 0.949228 2.780365 6.558458 13.192579 23.413678 39.316195
2026-02-22 0.167902 0.917549 2.826682 6.876500 14.115754 25.405244 43.128323
2026-03-01 0.129044 0.824464 2.720915 6.896276 14.537318 26.642833 45.868176
2026-03-08 0.083909 0.676537 2.455910 6.575495 14.351711 26.926329 47.195769
2026-03-15 0.053821 0.560375 2.238542 6.319437 14.252957 27.329896 48.700455
2026-03-22 0.046707 0.551210 2.300431 6.648773 15.212418 29.445837 52.844311
2026-03-29 0.043223 0.560590 2.414967 7.098006 16.405946 31.967393 57.655484
2026-04-05 0.038404 0.558272 2.495500 7.477600 17.484508 34.326379 62.259200
2026-04-12 0.028609 0.511739 2.437542 7.545332 17.986552 35.754812 65.453821
2026-04-19 0.017706 0.436013 2.271286 7.350132 17.981680 36.343152 67.351357
2026-04-26 0.010646 0.374224 2.130895 7.196392 18.041493 37.032711 69.412511